Overview

• ADA trades near $0.82 after multiple defenses of the $0.80–$0.84 band, with $0.92–$0.95 flagged by analysts as the hurdle to reopen a run toward $1.00.
• Santiment reports the most negative retail mood in five months at roughly a 1.5:1 bullish-to-bearish ratio, a setup some view as contrarian after a roughly 5% bounce.
• Ali Martinez says whales sold about 50 million ADA in 48 hours, extending recent large‑holder offloading that previously topped 30 million after the $1 tag.
• Technicians highlight a TD Sequential buy signal, a falling‑wedge setup and an ascending channel since June, while RSI and MACD point to waning bearish momentum.
• Volumes have eased in recent days, raising the bar for a clean breakout, and a drop under ~$0.78 would increase downside risk toward $0.74–$0.70.