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Caputo Defends Rate Surge as Temporary, Cites Election Volatility

Caputo casts the rate spike as a temporary response to election uncertainty.

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Overview

  • Posting on X on Monday, Economy Minister Luis Caputo said recent interest-rate increases are transitory and linked to the uncertainty around the September and October elections.
  • He acknowledged a short-term hit to economic activity and projected a quick rebound after the vote, saying he expects a strong performance by LLA and a return to more normal rates from November.
  • Caputo argued that rates are endogenous to strict money supply control, adding that if they were truly excessive market arbitrage would have pushed them lower.
  • He attributed heightened market risk to recent Congressional moves he says jeopardized fiscal balance and predicted that such political risk will recede soon.
  • His remarks responded to economist Fernando Marull’s criticism of “ridiculously high” rates and came as business groups reject the policy even as officials aim to prevent a rise in the dollar’s price.