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Canadian Travel to U.S. Plummets Over 70% as Trade Tensions Escalate

New data reveals a sharp decline in Canadian flight bookings to the U.S., driven by tariffs, political rhetoric, and safety concerns, with airlines slashing capacity through October 2025.

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Passengers wait for rides at Terminal 2 at San Diego International Airport on March 4, 2025 in San Diego, California.
Travel between the U.S. and Canada has fallen off amid Trump's embargoes and talk of annexing the country.

Overview

  • Forward bookings for flights from Canada to the U.S. have dropped by over 70% for the April-September 2025 period compared to last year, with April seeing a 76% decline.
  • Airlines have removed more than 320,000 seats from Canada-U.S. routes through October 2025 in response to plummeting demand.
  • The decline is attributed to President Trump's trade policies, including new auto tariffs, which Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has called a 'direct attack.'
  • Canadian government travel advisories now highlight safety concerns, including immigration risks and issues affecting LGBTQ+ travelers, further discouraging cross-border trips.
  • The U.S. tourism sector faces significant economic fallout, with Canadian visitors contributing over $20 billion annually to the American economy before the downturn.