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Canadian Manufacturing Sales Fall to Lowest Since 2022 as U.S. Tariffs Take Effect

A 2.8% drop in April sales driven by slumps in petroleum, vehicle and metal sectors raises the prospect of downward revisions to Canada’s GDP.

Overview

  • Manufacturing sales contracted 2.8% in April, marking the steepest month-over-month decline since October 2023.
  • Output levels are at their lowest point since January 2022 after a second consecutive monthly decrease.
  • Sales of petroleum and coal products plunged 10.9%, motor vehicle shipments fell 8.3% and primary metals declined 4.4%.
  • About half of surveyed manufacturers and 43% of wholesalers reported being affected by the first full month of U.S. tariffs on steel, aluminum and automotive goods.
  • Wholesale revenues slipped 2.3%, led by motor vehicle parts and accessories, prompting forecasts for a lower April GDP estimate.