Overview

• The Liberal Party of Canada has gained a 2% lead over the Conservatives in recent polls after trailing by 26 points just six weeks ago.
• Donald Trump’s threats to annex Canada and impose steep tariffs have fueled a wave of Canadian patriotism, benefiting the Liberals politically.
• Justin Trudeau’s resignation as prime minister in January initially seemed to doom the Liberals, but his vocal defense of Canadian sovereignty has resonated with voters.
• Mark Carney, a frontrunner to lead the Liberals, is seen as a strong candidate to stand up to Trump, with polls suggesting he could further boost the party’s support.
• The Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, face challenges in adapting their messaging as voters rally around national unity in the face of Trump’s rhetoric.