Canada’s Liberals Surge Toward Majority Under Mark Carney

The Liberal Party, revitalized by new leadership and growing nationalism, leads polls ahead of a potential snap election this spring.

Prime Minister Mark Carney has led the Liberal Party to a 42% vote intention, overtaking the Conservatives' 37% in national polls.
The Liberals' resurgence follows Justin Trudeau’s resignation and Carney’s election as leader on March 9, 2025.
Donald Trump’s trade war and annexation threats have fueled Canadian nationalism, boosting Liberal support.
The collapse of the NDP, with support dropping from 21% to 9%, has shifted much of its voter base to the Liberals.
A snap federal election is widely expected in late April or early May, with the Liberals projected to secure a majority government.