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Canada’s Liberals Surge Toward Majority Under Mark Carney

The Liberal Party, revitalized by new leadership and growing nationalism, leads polls ahead of a potential snap election this spring.

OTTAWA, CANADA - MARCH 14: New Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney addresses the media after being sworn in at Rideau Hall on March 14, 2025 in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. Carney, a former central banker, replaces Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader as the country faces a trade war with the United States.
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Canada Prime Minister Mark Carney (right) is greeted by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in London on Monday. (AP)

Overview

  • Prime Minister Mark Carney has led the Liberal Party to a 42% vote intention, overtaking the Conservatives' 37% in national polls.
  • The Liberals' resurgence follows Justin Trudeau’s resignation and Carney’s election as leader on March 9, 2025.
  • Donald Trump’s trade war and annexation threats have fueled Canadian nationalism, boosting Liberal support.
  • The collapse of the NDP, with support dropping from 21% to 9%, has shifted much of its voter base to the Liberals.
  • A snap federal election is widely expected in late April or early May, with the Liberals projected to secure a majority government.