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Canada's Liberals Lead Polls as Election Day Nears

Mark Carney seeks a strong mandate to counter U.S. trade threats as advance voting hits record highs.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre arrives in Terrace, B.C., during a campaign stop on Sunday, April 6, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Aaron Whitfield
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre speaks during a campaign rally, in Penticton, B.C., on Saturday, April 5, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck
The campaign planes for the Liberals and the Conservatives await their leaders after the debates in Montreal on April 18, 2025.
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney walks towards his bus after getting off his plane in Halifax Stanfield International Airport during his Liberal Party election campaign tour in Goffs, Nova Scotia, Canada April 21, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio

Overview

  • Recent polls place the Liberal Party at 43% support, ahead of the Conservatives at 38%, signaling a potential majority government for Mark Carney.
  • Carney emphasizes his experience as a former central banker, positioning himself as best suited to navigate Donald Trump's tariffs and annexation rhetoric.
  • Advance voting has surged, with a record-breaking two million Canadians casting ballots on the first day, reflecting heightened voter engagement.
  • Pierre Poilievre's populist campaign, once leading by over 20 points, has struggled as voters shift focus to economic resilience and sovereignty.
  • The April 28 election is expected to hinge on Canada’s response to U.S. trade aggression, with both major parties pledging to protect national interests.