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Canada’s Liberals Lead in Final Stretch of Election Campaign

Mark Carney’s Liberals hold a polling edge over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives as record early voting and U.S. trade tensions reshape voter priorities.

Overview

  • A record 7.3 million Canadians cast early ballots, marking a 25% increase from the 2021 election and signaling heightened voter engagement.
  • Recent Nanos polls show the Liberals leading nationally by 5 to 7 points, positioning them for a potential majority in the 343-seat House of Commons.
  • Prime Minister Mark Carney has campaigned on defending Canadian sovereignty against U.S. President Trump’s tariffs and annexation rhetoric.
  • Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives emphasize tax cuts, spending reductions, and border security, aiming to address cost-of-living concerns and economic growth.
  • Quebec remains a pivotal battleground, with Carney appealing to voters as the best candidate to protect the province’s distinct identity in U.S. trade negotiations.