Overview

• Mark Carney's Liberals hold a 42.5% to 38.7% lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives in CBC's latest polling average ahead of Monday's parliamentary election.
• Over seven million Canadians have already cast early ballots, signaling unprecedented voter engagement.
• Donald Trump's tariffs and annexation rhetoric have significantly influenced voter sentiment, benefiting the Liberals and shifting focus away from domestic issues like inflation and housing costs.
• Carney has positioned himself as the candidate best equipped to counter Trump’s policies, contrasting with Poilievre’s less confrontational stance toward Washington.
• Both parties are making last-minute appeals in swing provinces, vying for the 172 seats needed to secure a majority in Canada’s 343-seat House of Commons.