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Canada’s Economy Contracts as U.S. Tariffs Hammer Auto Exports

The second‑quarter report points to tariff‑driven strain that could shape the Bank of Canada’s September rate call.

Overview

  • Statistics Canada said real GDP fell 0.4% in Q2 from Q1, an annualized 1.6% decline and the first quarterly contraction since late 2023.
  • Exports of passenger cars and light trucks dropped 24.7% after U.S. tariffs, with machinery, equipment and travel services also weakening.
  • Business investment softened, including lower spending on machinery and equipment, compounding the export shock.
  • Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said Ottawa is working with industry to protect jobs and investment in autos and manufacturing, as economists flag policy implications for the September decision.
  • Investors weighed mixed signals as Canada’s S&P/TSX finished flat and U.S. indexes set records; Nvidia beat forecasts but noted slower growth in AI‑chip sales.