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Canada’s Big Banks Beat Q4 Forecasts on Capital‑Markets and Wealth Strength

Dividend increases reflect fee strength in trading and wealth despite higher provisions.

Overview

  • Toronto-Dominion beat adjusted profit expectations as reported earnings fell on restructuring and anti‑money‑laundering remediation charges, with U.S. assets at US$382 billion versus a US$434 billion cap and a final remediation charge of $125 million expected in early 2026.
  • Royal Bank’s profit rose 29% to $5.4 billion and it lifted its dividend to $1.64 per share while raising its return‑on‑equity target to at least 17%.
  • National Bank topped estimates, increased its dividend to $1.24, set a 17% ROE goal by 2027, and highlighted integration progress on Canadian Western Bank alongside a deal to acquire Laurentian Bank’s retail, SME and syndicated loan books.
  • CIBC posted a 16% profit increase to $2.2 billion, raised its dividend to $1.07, and reported a 58% jump in capital‑markets profit with U.S. commercial and wealth earnings up 35%.
  • BMO exceeded adjusted earnings forecasts, boosted its dividend to $1.67, reported sharply higher capital‑markets profit and improving U.S. credit trends, while Scotiabank edged past estimates despite a restructuring charge and higher loan‑loss provisions.