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Canada Sheds 66,000 Jobs in August as Unemployment Hits 7.1%

The weak report sharpened expectations for a Sept. 17 Bank of Canada rate cut pending the Sept. 16 inflation reading.

Overview

  • The jobless rate is the highest outside the pandemic since 2016 after a second straight monthly employment decline.
  • Part-time work accounted for most of the drop (60,000 versus 6,000 full-time), while average hourly wages rose 3.2% year over year.
  • Losses were concentrated in professional, scientific and technical services (−26,000), transportation and warehousing (−23,000) and manufacturing (−19,000), as construction added 17,000.
  • Regional strain deepened, with Alberta at 8.4%—second-highest among provinces—and city jobless rates such as Windsor 11.1%, Toronto 8.9% and Edmonton 8.5%.
  • The labour force shrank by about 31,000, and economists link the weakness to U.S. trade frictions as markets increasingly price a Sept. 17 rate cut contingent on the Sept. 16 CPI.