Overview

• The Canadian federal election on April 28, 2025, will determine the 338 seats in the House of Commons and the country's policy direction.
• Final polls show the Liberal Party led by Mark Carney at 44% support, ahead of Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives at 39%.
• Anti-Trump sentiment among Canadian voters, with 80% disliking the U.S. president, has contributed to the Liberals' late surge in support.
• Carney's crisis-management credentials and emphasis on national sovereignty have resonated with voters concerned about U.S. trade pressures.
• Poilievre's perceived alignment with Donald Trump, despite his efforts to distance himself, has alienated many Canadians, according to analysts.