Overview
- The Globe and Mail disclosed that Canadian military planners developed a conceptual model for a U.S. invasion, described as the first such exercise in about a century.
- Unnamed senior officials said U.S. forces could overrun key Canadian positions in as little as two days and that Canada would shift to insurgency-style tactics including ambushes, sabotage, drones, and hit-and-run operations.
- Gen. Jennie Carignan has outlined plans for a volunteer reserve exceeding 400,000 people, and officials said conscription is not being pursued at this time.
- Sources said warning signs would include termination of NORAD cooperation or notices that the countries no longer share skies, with a maximum Canadian preparation window of roughly three months.
- Officials assessed an invasion as unlikely, while noting that recent rhetoric from President Donald Trump—including a new post depicting Canada under a U.S. flag—forms the backdrop to the modeling.