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Canada Cuts Rates as Japan Holds, Central Banks Split on U.S. Tariff Shock

The split reflects Canada’s growth slowdown versus Japan’s inflation persistence.

Overview

  • The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight rate by 0.25 percentage point to 2.25%, marking a second straight cut and the lowest level since July 2022.
  • Governor Tiff Macklem said high U.S. tariffs and trade uncertainty have weakened Canada’s economy, with tariff-driven price pressures offset by soft demand.
  • The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate around 0.5% for a sixth consecutive meeting, while two of nine policy board members dissented in favor of a hike to about 0.75%.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda warned that more tariff costs will be passed to consumers, creating greater downside risk for consumption and overall economic activity.
  • The BOJ left its fiscal 2025 core CPI forecast at 2.7% and is watching wage-setting and corporate earnings, as some market participants speculate on possible political influence that Ueda addressed by stressing continued government communication.