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California's $4 Trillion Economy Overshadowed by Deficits, Poverty, and Unemployment

As California becomes the world's fourth-largest economy, state leaders grapple with structural budget deficits, record-high poverty, and unemployment rates.

Overview

  • California's GDP has surpassed $4 trillion, overtaking Japan to rank as the fourth-largest economy globally, behind the U.S., China, and Germany.
  • The state faces significant social challenges, including the highest poverty rate and the third-highest unemployment rate in the U.S., with over a million jobless residents.
  • Governor Gavin Newsom's January budget proposal included $11 billion in temporary fixes, but deficits have widened due to unexpected Medi-Cal cost overruns exceeding $6 billion.
  • Since 2019, state spending has grown by an average of 9% annually, outpacing revenue growth of 6%, creating a persistent structural budget gap.
  • State leaders are preparing a revised budget for 2025-26, expected to include additional short-term measures while concerns grow over depleted reserves and fiscal resilience.