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California Poised to Approve Prop. 50 Redrawing U.S. House Map

Polling and early returns point to a likely win for Democrats’ mid‑decade remap aimed at countering Texas.

Overview

  • Gov. Gavin Newsom led an intensive final‑week push with rallies and union mobilization, joined by high‑profile Democrats including Kamala Harris and Barack Obama’s closing ad.
  • Early vote trackers reported nearly 6 million ballots returned ahead of the Nov. 4 special election, with multiple surveys showing the measure leading by wide margins.
  • The “Yes on 50” campaign massively outraised opponents, with roughly $97 million raised versus about $42 million for the “No” effort, according to CalMatters reporting.
  • If approved, analysts say the maps could net Democrats up to five additional seats and endanger GOP incumbents Kevin Kiley, Doug LaMalfa, Darrell Issa, Ken Calvert and David Valadao.
  • The Trump administration dispatched federal election monitors to California, the state pledged its own observers, and both sides anticipate legal and political fights after the vote.