Overview
- The union-backed initiative seeks a retroactive 5% tax on Californians with net worth above roughly $1 billion, calculated using Jan. 1 valuations.
- A Nestpoint poll found 60% support among likely voters, with 54% still in favor after hearing economic and political objections.
- Backers have not yet qualified the measure and must submit about 875,000 valid signatures by mid-April to reach the November ballot.
- Governor Gavin Newsom opposes the plan, warning a one-time windfall could be followed by declining tax receipts as high earners move, and opponents are expected to mount expensive legal and messaging fights.
- Economists and real estate agents say any direct impact on Bay Area home prices would likely be limited unless a broad corporate and worker exodus occurs, though some wealthy residents have already reduced their California ties.