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yesterday

Cal Heavily Favored at San Diego State as Freshman QB Fuels 3-0 Start

Betting and analytics lean to Cal, with San Diego State aiming to disrupt Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele.

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California Golden Bears offensive lineman Leon Bell (55) raises wide receiver Trond Grizzell (7) after a touchdown against Oregon State during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Aug. 30, 2025, in Corvallis, Ore. (AP Photo/Mark Ylen)
Cal quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has been a difference-maker for the Bears. (AP Photo/Mark Ylen)
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Overview

  • The Aztecs enter as 13.5-point underdogs for Saturday’s game at Snapdragon Stadium, which kicks off at 7:30 p.m. on CBS Sports Network.
  • ESPN’s model gives Cal an 82.7% win probability, reflecting a 3-0 start built on two Power Five victories and balanced efficiency.
  • True freshman Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has completed 71 of 106 passes for 772 yards with six touchdowns and one interception, drawing praise from SDSU coach Sean Lewis.
  • Cal has not allowed a first-quarter point this season and has scored 30 fourth-quarter points, underscoring strong opening defense and closing offense.
  • Turnovers and pressure loom large as Cal has produced five takeaways, including three interceptions by Hezekiah Masses, while SDSU has yet to record a takeaway and has three sacks in two games.