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Busiest Independence Day Travel Week in 15 Years Sees Spotty Storm Risks

Record travel forecasts meet slight severe thunderstorm risks in the Northern Plains

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4th of July preparations are seen on the National Mall during the procedural vote on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act on July 03, 2025 in Washington, DC.
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Overview

  • FAA projects 300,000 flights and TSA expects over 18.5 million air passengers this holiday week, making it the busiest Independence Day travel period in 15 years.
  • AAA forecasts a record 72.2 million domestic trips from June 28 to July 6, up 1.7 million from last year.
  • The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center maintains a slight risk of severe thunderstorms Thursday across parts of the Northern Plains, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic.
  • July 4 is expected to be mostly clear nationwide, with Florida and the Northern Plains as the main trouble spots for heavy rain and storms.
  • AccuWeather forecasts that Friday thunderstorms stretching from western Texas through the Upper Midwest could bring hail, strong gusts and disruptions at major airports.