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Burry Calls U.S. Move in Venezuela a Long-Term Energy Shift as Valero Jumps

Analysts warn that meaningful increases in Venezuelan exports will likely take years because the country’s oil infrastructure is in disrepair.

Overview

  • Following reports that U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and President Trump urged American investment, Michael Burry said markets are overlooking the long-run impact.
  • Burry wrote that the “game just changed,” reiterated he has owned Valero since 2020, and argued the U.S. economy could gain as control of heavy crude reshapes supply dynamics.
  • Valero shares rose about 10% on Monday while benchmark oil edged up less than 1% and U.S. stock futures traded higher.
  • Burry highlighted that many Gulf Coast refineries were built for Venezuelan heavy crude and could see better margins over time if those barrels return.
  • He pointed to likely work for U.S. oilfield contractors such as Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Baker Hughes, cited geopolitical ramifications for China and Russia, and noted long-running claims by companies like Exxon could move toward resolution.