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Burnham Plans to Remove Earnings Link From State Pension Triple Lock

Labour says the change will free about £15 billion a year by 2040 to help pay for a National Care Service.

Overview

  • Prime Minister Andy Burnham announced the plan at Labour conference on Tuesday to end the triple lock’s automatic link to average earnings from 2030 and to uprate pensions by CPI inflation or at least 2.5 percent.
  • Downing Street has told MPs the government will introduce legislation in this Parliament so MPs can vote on the change before the next general election.
  • Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the triple lock remains Tory policy but refused to promise to repeal any law that scraps it and warned it would be “difficult” to reinstate if Labour spends the savings.
  • Official modelling cited by the government projects roughly £15 billion a year in savings by 2040 while independent analysis and other modelling warn the reform could leave future pensioners substantially worse off over decades.
  • The move has raised alarms from unions and charities about harm to older and disabled people, split public opinion with polling showing near‑half willing to trade pension protections for funded social care, and clear political risk ahead of the next election.