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Bundeskartellamt Confirms Rocket-And-Feather Effect in German Fuel Prices

Rapid price surges after crude-oil swings paired with sluggish declines risk qualifying as coordinated anti-competitive behavior.

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Eine Frau greift nach der Zapfpistole an einer Tankstelle.
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Overview

  • The authority’s latest Q2 analysis verifies that petrol prices rise quickly following crude-oil cost increases but fall only gradually after price drops.
  • Fuel stations adjusted their prices an average of 22 times per day in the second quarter, driven by early Q2 oil swings and mid-June Middle East tensions.
  • A station deemed cheapest among its five nearest competitors retains that ranking with a 79% probability after 15 minutes, 72% after 30 minutes and nearly two-thirds after eight hours.
  • Bundeskartellamt warns that if all market players adopt such asymmetric pass-through patterns, it could constitute coordinated anti-competitive conduct under German law.
  • The investigation remains open as regulators weigh potential cartel proceedings and consider broader measures to bolster market transparency.