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Bullock Signals Caution on Rate Cuts Ahead of Parliament Hearing

Markets lean toward a November move because underlying inflation remains near 2.7 percent.

Overview

  • Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock is set to face the federal economics committee on Monday on the outlook for interest rates, productivity and card payment surcharges.
  • Fresh remarks attributed to Bullock highlight lingering labour‑market tightness and slightly stronger recent data, reinforcing a meeting‑by‑meeting, data‑driven approach.
  • The ABS will release August CPI on Wednesday, with analysts expecting a modest trimmed‑mean dip to roughly 2.5–2.6 percent, short of the ~2.4 percent some say would justify a September cut.
  • August labour figures showed a 5,400 job decline with unemployment steady at 4.2 percent, underscoring a cooling but still resilient jobs market.
  • The Productivity Commission reported a June‑quarter productivity lift but flagged weak capital investment, while the RBA presses to remove card surcharges to boost transparency and competition.