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Buffett Indicator Tops 200%, Reviving Valuation Warnings

Analysts cite tech‑heavy market dynamics, urging disciplined dollar‑cost averaging.

Overview

  • The ratio of total U.S. stock market value to GDP has pushed beyond 200%, highlighting elevated aggregate valuations.
  • Warren Buffett has called this gauge the best single snapshot of market valuation and warned high readings can mean investors are playing with fire.
  • Historically the measure has averaged about 85% since 1970 and peaked near 150% during the 2000 dot‑com era.
  • Coverage notes today’s market is dominated by cash‑rich, capital‑light giants such as Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Nvidia, whose results are less tied to economic cycles.
  • Commentators emphasize the indicator is not a timing tool and recommend steady investing, including use of broad ETFs like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO).