Overview
- Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium, with Tampa Bay entering 7-6 and Atlanta 4-9.
- Sportsbooks list the Buccaneers at -4.5 with a total around 44 to 44.5 points.
- Tampa Bay activated Mike Evans from injured reserve and is tracking other key pieces, while Atlanta is expected to be without WR Drake London.
- Multiple models and previews lean Buccaneers, including a 10,000-simulation forecast projecting roughly a 25–20 Tampa Bay win and a 68% win probability.
- Analysts highlight matchup edges—Falcons’ top-10 pass defense and 43 sacks versus Tampa Bay’s strong run defense and Bijan Robinson’s role—and many favor the under with interest in Bucky Irving rushing props.