Bubblemaps Disputes WLFI Link to Polymarket’s Maduro Bet

Overview

• Bubblemaps published a Jan. 5 analysis rejecting viral claims that a WLFI cofounder funded a profitable Polymarket position on Nicolás Maduro’s removal.
• The rebuttal says a one-day gap and similar deposit sizes from exchanges are weak signals, identifying roughly 20 wallets that fit the same pattern when broader assets are included.
• The contested attribution leaned on a ~250 SOL Coinbase deposit and references to ENS/SNS names tied to “Steven Charles,” which Bubblemaps says cannot establish control.
• The firm notes exchange inflows may derive from bank transfers, multiple smaller deposits, or older consolidated balances, calling a touted “99% match” clickbait.
• Polymarket and World Liberty Financial have not reported internal findings or a formal probe, as questions persist over trades that turned about $60,000 into more than $630,000, including one wallet’s ~$32,000 into nearly $400,000.