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2h ago

Brownlow Medal Count Tonight With Daicos Favoured, Predictor Tips Dawson

A tight five-man field sets up a rare clash between betting sentiment versus AFL.com.au’s model.

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Patrick Cripps kisses the Brownlow Medal on stage

Overview

  • The count begins at 8:00pm AEST on Monday with Seven’s broadcast and 7plus stream starting from 7:30pm AEST, live from Melbourne’s Crown Palladium.
  • Markets install Collingwood’s Nick Daicos as the short-priced favourite after his AFLPA MVP season, with Geelong’s Bailey Smith seen as the leading challenger.
  • AFL.com.au’s Brownlow Predictor projects Adelaide captain Jordan Dawson on 32 votes, with Daicos and Smith on 31, highlighting a narrow margin at the top.
  • Analysts note rising vote totals in recent years, with Patrick Cripps’ 45 in 2024 and Nick Daicos’ 38 fueling expectations that high tallies could feature again.
  • The race is widely framed as a first-time winner scenario among Daicos, Smith, Dawson, Noah Anderson and Matt Rowell under the umpires’ 3-2-1 voting system, with suspended players ineligible.