Overview

• Monday night's Brownlow in Melbourne shapes as a five-man race featuring Nick Daicos, Jordan Dawson, Bailey Smith, Noah Anderson and Matt Rowell.
• AFL.com.au’s Brownlow Predictor projects Dawson to finish on 32 votes, narrowly ahead of Daicos and Smith on 31, with Anderson close behind on 30.
• Betting markets list Daicos as a short-priced favourite after an outstanding season that also earned him the AFL Players Association MVP award.
• Daicos gathered 38 votes last year but lost to Patrick Cripps’ record 45, highlighting the volatility of the umpire-voted count.
• Polling metrics signal a new winner is likely, with Dawson leading in three-vote games and in the number of matches where he received votes.