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Broncos Heavy Favorites Over Raiders on TNF as Models and Markets Align

Public money has pushed sportsbooks to near double‑digit spreads for Denver with totals near 43 points.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High for the Week 10 AFC West matchup.
  • Denver enters 7-2 on a six-game win streak with an NFL-best 40 sacks, and multiple projection models lean Broncos and project higher scoring than the posted total.
  • Books list Denver around -9 to -9.5 with an over/under of 42.5–43, and Gambling911 reports roughly 80% of bets on the Broncos as lines ticked toward Denver.
  • Las Vegas is 2-6 after trading Jakobi Meyers to Jacksonville, with an offense ranked near the bottom of the league and facing Denver’s top-tier pass rush.
  • DFS and prop angles highlight Bo Nix over 1.5 passing touchdowns, Courtland Sutton receiving overs, and Brock Bowers usage, while Denver ruled out Pat Surtain II and Marvin Mims.