Overview
- Denver enters Week 17 at 12-3 atop the AFC with seeding at stake, while 6-9 Kansas City has been eliminated from playoff contention.
- DraftKings lists the Broncos -12.5 with a 36.5 total and moneyline around Denver -877/Kansas City +593, reflecting a steep market shift.
- Kansas City signed Shane Buechele for depth after consecutive knee injuries to Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew, with Oladokun expected to start.
- Multiple models lean Denver, including ESPN’s 57.9% win probability and Dimers’ 69% projection in extensive simulations.
- Denver’s defense ranks top five in scoring and total yards and leads the NFL with 63 sacks, shaping a difficult matchup for an inexperienced quarterback.