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Brokerages See Muted Q2 for Indian IT With Regulatory Drag and Tepid Growth

Brokerages foresee steady margins helped by currency relief.

Overview

  • Previews point to flat to marginal sequential growth for Tier-1 firms in Q2 FY26, with guidance ranging from roughly 0.6% to 1.8% and mid-tier players expected to outpace larger peers.
  • Analysts flag U.S. policy pressures—including steep H1-B fee hikes, a proposed outsourcing tax, and reciprocal tariffs—that are clouding demand visibility and raising delivery costs.
  • Infosys and LTIMindtree are expected to lead large-cap growth, while TCS, HCLTech, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra are seen posting largely flat trends according to brokerage estimates.
  • Deal flow is concentrated in cost take-out and infrastructure modernisation, while AI projects are moving from pilots to production but revenue conversion remains slow.
  • HDFC Securities trimmed sector estimates and upgraded Infosys and HCLTech to Buy, noting the IT index is down about 13% in three months and Tier‑1 valuations appear reasonable.