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Bristlemoon Details Q4 Results, Alphabet Gains and New Adobe Bet in Investor Letter

The firm describes an AI-driven market divide that led to an Adobe purchase at about 15x earnings based on a workflow-demand thesis.

Overview

  • The Bristlemoon Global Fund returned -6.2% for Q4 2025, gained 0.3% in December, and is up 11.9% since inception net of fees.
  • Management characterizes 2025 as a split market where perceived AI winners surged while stocks labeled AI losers fell, shaping portfolio decisions.
  • Alphabet moved from pessimism to a meaningful positive contributor, with shares up 72.02% over 12 months and closing at $328.57 on Jan. 9, 2026.
  • An earlier ASML thesis was validated as the stock rose from roughly €600 to above €900 in a quarter, with a 52-week gain of about 75% cited.
  • Bristlemoon initiated Adobe around 15x earnings under a Jevons-paradox view that AI lifts demand for creative workflows, as Adobe reported 11% FY2025 revenue growth alongside an 18.25% 52-week share decline.