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Brief Early-October Warm Spell Forecast for South and East as Met Office Flags Humberto Risk

The Met Office says ex-Humberto could bring a windy, unsettled turn around the first weekend.

Overview

  • WXCharts maps indicate Wednesday, October 1, could deliver around 20C and autumn sunshine across southern and southeastern England.
  • The Met Office expects a northwest–southeast split to start October, with rain and stronger winds in the northwest and drier, brighter conditions further southeast.
  • City-level projections for October 1 put London, Luton and Southampton near 20C, with Norwich and Birmingham around 19C, contrasting with mid-teens in parts of the north and west.
  • MyLondon reports a largely dry, settled week for the capital with daytime temperatures near 19–21C and only small rain chances before the weekend.
  • Model guidance cited by Birmingham Live points to a possible brief second warm pulse on October 5–6 near 22C in the east and south, followed by a sharper cool-down and increasing uncertainty from further Atlantic storm activity.