Overview
- A five-justice panel opens proceedings Tuesday in Brasília and has until Sept. 12 to vote, with a three-vote majority sufficient to convict.
- Bolsonaro and seven allies face five counts, with prosecutors alleging he led a plot to overturn the 2022 result and was aware of assassination plans targeting Lula and Justice Alexandre de Moraes.
- He remains under house arrest with an ankle monitor, a social media ban and round-the-clock surveillance, and a new court order mandates inspections of all vehicles leaving his residence and monitoring of exterior areas.
- Conviction could bring roughly 40 years in prison with immediate custody, followed by possible appeals to the full Supreme Court and likely special incarceration arrangements.
- The case has strained ties with the United States after President Donald Trump linked a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods to the trial and the U.S. Treasury sanctioned Justice de Moraes, prompting nationalist pushback in Brazil.