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Brazil’s Industry Confidence Rebounds in December to 92.9, FGV Says

FGV cautions the gain likely reflects short‑term payback under a contractionary policy setting.

Overview

  • After two monthly declines, the Industry Confidence Index rose 3.8 points in December to 92.9.
  • The three-month moving average ticked up 0.8 point to 90.6, signaling only a modest improvement.
  • The Current Situation Index climbed 2.8 points to 92.4, while the Expectations Index advanced 4.6 to 93.4.
  • Confidence increased in 13 of the 19 industrial segments surveyed, according to FGV Ibre.
  • Capacity utilization edged down 0.1 percentage point to 79.6%, the lowest since April 2021, with FGV’s Stéfano Pacini citing inventory adjustments and ongoing macro headwinds.