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Brazil’s 2024 Emissions Fall 17% on Deforestation Drop, SEEG Reports

SEEG projects 2025 emissions near 1.44 GtCO2e, exceeding Brazil’s 1.32‑Gt Paris target.

Overview

  • Independent SEEG data show gross emissions fell from about 2.57 to 2.15 GtCO2e in 2024, the second‑largest annual decline on record.
  • Land‑use change emissions dropped 32.5% to 906 MtCO2e as deforestation decreased, while energy (+0.8%), industrial processes (+2.8%) and waste (+3.6%) rose and agriculture slipped 0.7%.
  • Net emissions fell 22% to roughly 1.49 GtCO2e after accounting for forest removals, with agriculture becoming the largest net source at about 42%.
  • Wildfire emissions were unusually large and are not counted in official inventories, with SEEG/IPAM estimating roughly 241–441 MtCO2e in 2024.
  • The decline gives Brazil a diplomatic boost heading into COP30, yet plans to expand oil prospecting on the Equatorial Margin drew criticism from climate advocates.