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Brazil Supreme Court Panel Reaches Provisional Majority to Convict Bolsonaro

A tentative majority has formed to convict, with a final ruling expected Friday.

Overview

  • Justice Cármen Lúcia cast the third vote for a guilty verdict, joining Alexandre de Moraes and Flávio Dino to give the five-judge chamber a reported majority.
  • Justice Luiz Fux dissented, arguing the court lacks jurisdiction and that prosecutors failed to prove a coup or a armed criminal organization, and he urged acquittal.
  • Judges are delivering opinions sequentially and may revise positions until the decision is announced, after which the panel would set the sentence.
  • A conviction could carry up to roughly 43 years in prison, though house arrest is possible given Bolsonaro’s age and health; he is currently under court-ordered house arrest with electronic monitoring.
  • Seven alleged accomplices, including former ministers and senior military officers, are also on trial in this first case in Brazil targeting a former president over coup allegations.