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Brazil Supreme Court Edges Toward Convicting Bolsonaro in Coup Plot Case

Two early guilty votes leave Bolsonaro one short of a conviction.

Overview

  • Judges Alexandre de Moraes and Flávio Dino voted to find Bolsonaro and seven allies guilty, describing a coordinated bid to overturn the 2022 election and impose exceptional measures.
  • A simple majority of three of the five First Chamber judges would convict, with remaining votes due in sessions scheduled through Friday unless a request for more time pauses the trial for up to 90 days.
  • Prosecutors cite handwritten notes, draft decrees printed at the Planalto and testimony about an alleged plan to assassinate Lula, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin and Moraes as evidence that Bolsonaro led the effort.
  • Bolsonaro, 70, remains under house arrest, skipped the session for health reasons and is following proceedings remotely as potential penalties discussed could total roughly 40–43 years, subject to appeals.
  • Allies in Congress are pushing an immediate post‑verdict amnesty for Bolsonaro and January 8 participants, after large weekend rallies including an estimated 42,200 people on São Paulo’s Avenida Paulista.