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Brazil Rents Edge Up 0.30% in September as Porto Alegre’s Market Normalizes

FGV’s contract-based IVAR shows a slight 12‑month slowdown to 4.04% driven by the fading impact of last year’s flood-driven spike in Porto Alegre.

Overview

  • City-level moves in September were uneven: São Paulo rose 0.37%, Rio de Janeiro 1.02%, Belo Horizonte 0.55%, and Porto Alegre fell 0.40%.
  • Belo Horizonte led the 12‑month gains at 9.01%, with Rio at 4.29%, São Paulo at 2.69%, and Porto Alegre down to 2.05% from 22.05% a year earlier.
  • FGV attributes the slight deceleration in the national 12‑month rate to the lower base in Porto Alegre after the flood-related surge in 2024.
  • FGV economist Matheus Dias says elevated interest rates are postponing financed home purchases, keeping rental demand firm and price pressures in place.
  • IVAR tracks rents from signed contracts rather than advertised listings, providing a more accurate read of negotiated rental prices.