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Brazil Publishes Auditable Deforestation Data to Challenge U.S. 25% Tariff Proposal

Brazilian officials say the newly public DETER/INPE/PRODES figures will be used in diplomacy to dispute USTR claims and could shape the outcome of the U.S. trade investigation.

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Overview

  • Brazil released DETER, INPE and PRODES data on Thursday showing a 64.1% drop in Amazon deforestation in May 2026 compared with May 2025 and a 12.2% fall in the Cerrado.
  • President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Environment Minister João Paulo Capobianco presented the figures in Brasília and said they will send the datasets to U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer for review.
  • The Office of the United States Trade Representative recommended a 25% tariff on Brazilian goods on June 1 as part of a formal probe and no tariff has been imposed to date.
  • Capobianco described the monitoring systems as clear and auditable and noted that Prodes results were already shared in prior technical briefings in Washington to verify Brazil’s chain-of-custody controls.
  • The dispute now centers on competing narratives: Brazil is pressing technical, public data to steer talks toward verification while U.S. officials must decide whether the probe proceeds to trade penalties that would affect Brazilian exporters.