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Brazil Central Bank Chief Vows to Keep Rates as High as Needed to Ensure Inflation Convergence

He cites a slow cooldown with resilient jobs to justify a data-dependent stance.

Overview

  • Gabriel Galípolo said the bank will hold interest rates at the level and for the time required to bring inflation to target.
  • He described a slow, gradual cooling of activity with resilient employment, which reduces the risk of a sharp downturn but delays disinflation.
  • Despite a 15% Selic, credit continues to expand “surprisingly,” prompting what he called a vigilant and conservative policy posture.
  • He highlighted October’s new housing funding model to shift mortgages toward market rates and strengthen monetary transmission, alongside a structural decline in savings deposits among younger investors.
  • He said perceptions of fiscal stimulus are feeding unanchored expectations and help explain gaps between market and Central Bank projections, with election-year dynamics adding volatility.