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Brazil Braces for Escalating Storms as INMET Issues Alerts and Cyclone Risk Looms

Forecasts point to late‑week intensification, including a likely extratropical cyclone increasing rain and wind risks.

Overview

  • The National Institute of Meteorology issued alerts through Wednesday for heavy rain and thunderstorms across eight states, with totals up to 50 mm per day, winds of 40–60 km/h and the possibility of hail.
  • São Paulo’s Civil Defense warned that saturated soils and an advancing cold front elevate the risk of floods, landslides, treefall and power interruptions, with the highest threat expected Friday and Saturday.
  • Climatempo forecasts indicate an extratropical cyclone forming around Friday that could bring strong rain and gusty winds to Rio Grande do Sul and influence broader areas of the South and Southeast.
  • Araraquara recorded a second microexplosion in 48 hours, with 58 mm of rain in 20 minutes, hail, strong winds and outages confirmed by local Civil Defense as teams worked overnight on response.
  • Recent storms have already caused significant impacts, including more than 32,000 people affected and over 4,000 displaced in 23 Paraná municipalities, structural damage and school disruptions in Sumaré, damages in Capela do Alto, and the Federal District receiving roughly half its expected November rain in three days under an orange warning.