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Overview
- Fluminense host Bahia at 16:00 (Brasília) in a head‑to‑head where the winner clinches fifth place and a direct Libertadores group berth.
- Botafogo must beat Fortaleza at Nilton Santos and hope for a Fluminense–Bahia draw to reach the group stage, while Fortaleza guarantees Série A safety with a win.
- Ceará stay up with a home victory over vice‑champion Palmeiras, as Santos need only a draw against Cruzeiro, while Vitória and Internacional require wins plus help.
- The UFMG model estimates relegation risks at roughly Internacional ~77%, Vitória ~65%, Fortaleza ~35%, Ceará ~20% and Santos ~2%, with Sport and Juventude already down.
- All decisive fixtures kick off together at 16:00 (Mirassol–Flamengo excepted), with Sul‑Americana spots and new block‑based TV prize distributions adding financial weight to final positions.