Overview
- The BOM’s first forecast track map shows the tropical low north of the Tiwi Islands moving northeast before turning south toward the Northern Territory coast from Friday.
- The agency characterizes the multi‑day risk as high, including about a 60% chance of cyclone development between late Thursday and late Friday.
- Sea temperatures near 30–31°C are expected to support rapid strengthening to Category 2, though forecasters do not expect Category 3 intensity.
- NT Emergency Service leaders urge residents to prepare 72‑hour kits and identify shelter options as the system could approach the Darwin area.
- The developing low has already delivered heavy rain, including 228 mm in 24 hours at Charles Point near Darwin.