Overview
- The Supreme Court’s First Panel denied the latest defense appeals, leaving only a non-suspensive embargos infringentes filing available as the case enters its final procedural phase.
- Bolsonaro’s 27-year, three-month sentence stems from the coup-plot case, and by law a term over eight years must begin in a federal closed regime before any health-based request for home detention can be considered.
- House arrest conditions over the past 100 days have included an electronic ankle monitor, a ban on leaving home, restricted visits, no contact with foreign diplomats, and a prohibition on appearing in third-party social media content.
- Reports indicate the transfer decision rests with Minister Alexandre de Moraes, with Papuda cited as the most probable destination though the timing has not been announced.
- The detention has eroded Bolsonaro’s political sway, sharpening rivalries on the right and exposing family and party rifts as allies abandon amnesty pushes and reposition ahead of 2026.