Overview

• Prosecutor-General Paulo Gonet concluded closing arguments on July 15, urging the court to convict Bolsonaro of leading an armed conspiracy to overturn the 2022 election.
• Bolsonaro’s defense and co-defendants have 15 days to file their submissions before a Supreme Federal Tribunal panel, chaired by Justice Alexandre de Moraes, votes on verdicts later this year.
• The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative opened a Section 301 investigation into Brazil’s trade practices, which could justify a wider range of U.S. tariffs.
• President Trump’s 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, tied to Bolsonaro’s trial, is set to take effect on August 1.
• President Lula has vowed to impose reciprocal tariffs under Brazil’s reciprocity law once U.S. duties begin.