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BOJ’s Ueda Says Inflation Near Target, Keeps Door Open to More Rate Hikes

Ueda cites tightening labor markets with companies passing on costs as evidence of a durable wage‑price cycle.

Overview

  • Core inflation in Tokyo slowed to 2.3% in December from 2.8% in November, remaining above the 2% target and reinforcing the case for continued policy normalization.
  • The Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 0.75% last week, the highest in roughly three decades, marking another step away from ultra‑easy settings.
  • Ueda said real interest rates remain very low and signaled the BOJ will raise borrowing costs further if its baseline outlook for growth and prices holds.
  • He pointed to structural labor shortages tied to a declining working‑age population and broader corporate price pass‑through as forces supporting sustained wage gains.
  • Analysts expect no change at the Jan. 22–23 meeting, when updated quarterly forecasts may shed light on how yen weakness is influencing the inflation outlook.