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BOJ’s Ueda Reaffirms Data-Driven Path to Possible Rate Hikes

He highlights potential fallout from a 15% U.S. tariff, noting no broad impact on Japan yet.

Overview

  • The Bank of Japan will consider additional rate increases only if prices and economic activity evolve in line with its forecasts.
  • Kazuo Ueda says decisions will be made without preconceptions while policy remains accommodative to support the economy.
  • He identifies a possible 15% U.S. tariff as a meaningful downside risk, though widespread effects on Japan have not been detected.
  • Ueda warns that prolonged trade uncertainty could weaken the pass‑through from higher prices to wage growth.
  • The yen moved to about 147.60 per dollar after his remarks, reflecting a modest market reaction.