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BOJ’s Takata Signals Resumption of Rate Hikes After Tariff Assessment

Takata cited strong domestic price pressures alongside elevated uncertainty over US reciprocal tariffs as rationale for a data-driven resumption of rate increases.

A passerby walks past in front of the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo, Japan January 23, 2025.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
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Overview

  • Takata said the BOJ’s pause in its rate-hike cycle was temporary and advocated resuming increases after a period of “wait and see” to assess US tariff impacts.
  • He highlighted that Japan’s inflation was nearing the bank’s 2% target on the back of robust corporate profits and labour shortages driving up wages.
  • Takata warned that sweeping reciprocal tariffs proposed by President Trump, potentially as high as 35%, posed risks to export momentum.
  • He urged the central bank to maintain a flexible, data-dependent approach without leaning too pessimistic on external uncertainties.
  • No timeline for the next hike was set, reflecting a cautious stance amid global market divergences and yen considerations.